Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.503932 7.188468 7.974621 8.959532 10.183674 11.689270 13.740607
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.950795 6.896079 8.085525 9.753110 12.148538 15.700933 21.989951
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.679318 6.876139 8.521039 11.119628 15.561721 24.175786 49.428003
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.080333 6.319908 8.122849 11.217861 17.281875 32.487656 130.944343
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.800095 6.162581 8.283857 12.338998 22.050670 62.323540 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.499695 5.928071 8.283876 13.254851 28.028444 183.109486 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.109246 5.496349 7.864797 13.188933 31.752374 1596.496041 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.744188 5.059055 7.357665 12.761677 34.139753 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.657812 5.071034 7.697453 14.689120 57.333633 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.691283 5.297232 8.548807 19.088519 258.580315 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.594575 5.274862 8.879100 22.478914 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.440766 5.122143 8.869122 24.673674 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.218011 4.837856 8.545270 25.552750 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.026563 4.593561 8.275387 26.726657 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.909231 4.485949 8.359581 31.276596 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.691771 4.144448 7.698187 28.372441 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.577199 4.008514 7.613612 31.258728 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.458515 3.850260 7.426624 33.080025 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.308586 3.610118 6.940202 30.356163 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.164465 3.372156 6.428718 26.901318 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.124184 3.355758 6.603149 33.008708 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.130632 3.443517 7.154404 52.997080 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.088836 3.416661 7.314411 72.618429 NaN NaN NaN